Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 881.362177 1006.095063 1148.738405 1325.384588 1540.287910 1795.898308 2.126960e+03
2024-10-27 682.361435 831.615370 1018.495929 1274.620196 1624.627992 2098.961553 2.814160e+03
2024-11-03 613.958243 779.408519 998.866658 1320.557568 1797.129261 2507.758398 3.714502e+03
2024-11-10 557.933079 731.908134 973.794821 1348.990659 1945.321451 2915.209369 4.761459e+03
2024-11-17 517.306425 697.512116 958.261662 1383.104800 2102.299697 3370.657316 6.072010e+03
2024-11-24 470.308802 647.330813 911.329980 1358.136641 2153.319647 3652.022416 7.168336e+03
2024-12-01 441.446327 620.139334 894.812290 1378.056562 2284.185489 4118.652248 8.920097e+03
2024-12-08 419.719394 601.076101 887.976421 1412.038929 2446.920922 4701.420034 1.134210e+04
2024-12-15 394.512513 573.802739 864.132109 1411.136420 2539.511458 5159.507460 1.375900e+04
2024-12-22 366.959280 540.190428 825.871995 1377.479209 2556.094185 5441.013381 1.584185e+04
2024-12-29 350.855955 523.849188 815.364041 1395.021141 2687.887727 6068.773863 1.986193e+04
2025-01-05 328.674005 495.538256 780.960841 1360.313607 2692.632479 6349.266492 2.275525e+04
2025-01-12 308.574822 470.972588 754.054147 1343.977339 2755.554996 6887.336967 2.807023e+04
2025-01-19 285.561320 439.919926 712.894216 1293.416523 2726.396048 7143.734825 3.251283e+04
2025-01-26 277.311035 433.729779 716.956776 1339.908737 2960.677095 8429.543842 4.730832e+04
2025-02-02 267.642290 424.145849 713.435133 1369.011228 3158.041233 9732.295735 6.810277e+04
2025-02-09 259.383682 416.364002 712.475866 1403.772974 3384.186451 11349.686687 1.032868e+05
2025-02-16 245.789932 397.704692 687.917961 1378.316247 3419.026363 12136.263780 1.342330e+05
2025-02-23 237.719658 388.772089 682.294739 1398.630700 3609.455587 13899.755651 2.100200e+05
2025-03-02 231.505502 382.865720 682.313143 1433.296434 3862.637086 16326.348463 3.734683e+05
2025-03-09 222.726071 371.394467 669.454180 1432.375460 3990.522935 18169.707140 6.140501e+05
2025-03-16 211.935724 355.336444 645.388744 1398.042488 3984.054348 19114.111641 8.856518e+05
2025-03-23 205.952080 348.360579 640.562519 1415.935947 4189.902297 21994.802479 1.959510e+06